When one talks about exchange rate, this simply refers to
how much a certain currency is worth in relation to another currency.
For example, you are planning to go on vacation to
Singapore
and you live in the
United States.
You need to have your US dollars exchanged to Singaporean dollars so
that you have money to spend during your journey. Thus,
you need to determine the exchange rate in order to determine that what you
have will be enough to sustain your trip to that country.
You should keep in mind, though that every day, the currency equivalent may
change depending on the demand. This is due to the fact
that the different currencies in circulation are being traded in the Foreign
Exchange Market (Forex). This Market functions the same
way as the stock trading markets, except that in this case, currencies and
not stocks are being sold and bought by the traders. As
an international market, the Forex operates round the clock, from Sunday
afternoon up to Friday afternoon, 24 hours a day.
Foreign exchange trading can be quite lucrative, if you know how to play the
game. Even if you do not have sufficient capital to make
huge transactions but are a risk taker, you might want to try marginal
trading, which refers to trading utilizing borrowed resources.
Marginal trading is when you are able to buy a certain currency at a
lower exchange rate and when the rate increases, you cash in and sell what
you have previously bought. It can be quite risky though
since there is the probability that the exchange rate will go lower than
your buying level. However, if you have the knack for
feeling the market and the movements of currencies, you can capitalize on
this ability to make money for yourself.
For a better understanding of the foreign exchange trading, you might want
to resort to fundamental as well as technical analysis of the market, which
most investors generally utilize as tools in making their investments.
Fundamental analysis refers to the study of the currency in relation
to its country of origin. The political and economic
situations of the country are taken into consideration as a way of
evaluating the future performance of the currency in question.
Factors such as the prevailing banking interest rates, inflation
rates, employment as well as unemployment levels, purchasing power and other
pertinent data are being studied by fundamental analysts as to predict if
the currency will perform stronger or weaker in the near, medium and
long-term.
Technical analysis is the study of the performance of the currency based on
the opening, highest, lowest and closing prices of a certain currency
together with the volume of transactions on a daily basis.
The application of this technique is deemed useful as analyst and
investors believe that there are patterns or trends in each and every
movement of a currency. Hence, it is possible to predict
to a specific degree that the currency will move up or down the next day or
the following week or months.
Generally, most players in the foreign exchange market would normally look
at types of analysis for a better leverage in their investments while others
may favor one over the other. Whatever analysis you
choose is really up to you.